Cost Estimation & Control

Estimating

Estimating in Cost Estimation & Control: The Art of Calculating the Probable

Estimating, in the context of Cost Estimation & Control, is the crucial process of calculating approximately the probable cost or value of a project, product, or service. It's not about guessing, but rather a calculated prediction based on available information and experience. This article dives deeper into the nature of estimating, exploring its importance and the key considerations involved.

Why is Estimating Essential?

  • Planning & Budgeting: Accurate estimates form the foundation for project planning and budget allocation. They provide a financial framework for decision-making, allowing for resource allocation and risk assessment.
  • Project Viability: Cost estimates help determine the feasibility of a project. By assessing the likely costs against potential returns, companies can make informed decisions about whether to proceed.
  • Contract Negotiations: Estimating plays a critical role in contract negotiations. It enables businesses to present realistic bids and secure profitable deals.
  • Cost Control: Estimates act as a baseline for monitoring actual costs. By comparing actual expenses to initial estimates, project managers can identify deviations and implement corrective measures.

The Art of Estimating:

Estimating is not an exact science. It involves a combination of:

  • Data Analysis: Utilizing historical data, market research, and available project information.
  • Experience & Expertise: Drawing upon past experiences and industry knowledge to refine assumptions and calculations.
  • Assumptions: Recognizing that some factors are inherently uncertain and making educated guesses based on available data.

Key Considerations for Accurate Estimating:

  • Scope Definition: A clear understanding of the project's scope is paramount.
  • Project Complexity: Complex projects require more detailed estimates and potentially a greater allowance for contingencies.
  • Timeframe: The duration of the project influences cost estimates. Inflation and fluctuating market conditions need to be factored in.
  • Resources: Accurately estimating the cost of labor, materials, and equipment is crucial for accurate project costing.
  • Risk Assessment: Identifying potential risks and quantifying their financial impact is vital for establishing a contingency reserve.

Different Types of Estimates:

  • Rough Order of Magnitude (ROM) Estimate: A preliminary estimate with a high margin of error, usually used for initial project feasibility assessments.
  • Budgetary Estimate: A more detailed estimate with a lower margin of error, used for budgeting and planning purposes.
  • Definitive Estimate: The most detailed and accurate estimate, typically used for final project bids and contracts.

Best Practices for Effective Estimating:

  • Utilize Estimating Software: Tools like cost-estimating software can streamline the process, automate calculations, and improve accuracy.
  • Involve Experienced Estimators: Expert estimators can bring valuable insights and ensure thoroughness.
  • Regularly Review Estimates: As projects progress, it's essential to revisit and revise estimates to reflect changes in scope, market conditions, or actual costs incurred.

Conclusion:

Estimating is a crucial aspect of Cost Estimation & Control. By understanding the process and considering the key factors involved, businesses can develop accurate and reliable cost estimates that support informed decision-making, enhance project planning, and contribute to overall financial success.


Test Your Knowledge

Quiz: Estimating in Cost Estimation & Control

Instructions: Choose the best answer for each question.

1. What is the primary purpose of estimating in Cost Estimation & Control?

(a) To guess the approximate cost of a project. (b) To calculate precisely the final cost of a project. (c) To provide a calculated prediction of the probable cost of a project. (d) To set a fixed budget that cannot be changed.

Answer

The correct answer is (c) To provide a calculated prediction of the probable cost of a project. Estimating aims to provide a reasonable approximation based on available data and experience, not a guess or a fixed budget.

2. Which of the following is NOT a benefit of accurate cost estimates?

(a) Planning and budgeting (b) Determining project viability (c) Eliminating all project risks (d) Contract negotiations

Answer

The correct answer is (c) Eliminating all project risks. While good estimates help in risk assessment and mitigation, they cannot eliminate all risks entirely.

3. Which type of estimate is most detailed and accurate?

(a) Rough Order of Magnitude (ROM) Estimate (b) Budgetary Estimate (c) Definitive Estimate

Answer

The correct answer is (c) Definitive Estimate. Definitive estimates are the most thorough and used for final bids and contracts.

4. What is a crucial factor to consider for accurate cost estimating?

(a) Using only historical data (b) Ignoring potential risks (c) Defining the project scope clearly (d) Assuming all costs will be fixed

Answer

The correct answer is (c) Defining the project scope clearly. A well-defined scope is essential for accurate cost estimation and prevents cost overruns due to scope creep.

5. Which of the following is NOT a best practice for effective estimating?

(a) Using estimating software (b) Involving experienced estimators (c) Regularly reviewing estimates (d) Avoiding any changes to the initial estimate

Answer

The correct answer is (d) Avoiding any changes to the initial estimate. It's important to revisit and revise estimates as projects progress to reflect changes in scope, market conditions, or actual costs incurred.

Exercise: Estimating a Simple Project

Scenario: You are tasked with estimating the cost of building a small wooden birdhouse.

Instructions:

  1. Define the scope of the project: What materials and steps are required to build the birdhouse?
  2. Research the cost of materials: Find the prices of wood, nails, paint, etc.
  3. Consider potential risks: What factors might increase the cost (e.g., unexpected material shortages, additional labor needed)?
  4. Estimate the total cost of the project, including a contingency reserve for potential risks.

Present your estimated cost breakdown in a table format.

Exercice Correction

This is a sample solution, your cost breakdown may vary based on your research and assumptions.

ItemQuantityUnit CostTotal Cost
Wood (Pine)1 board (10 ft)$5.00$5.00
Nails1 box$2.50$2.50
Paint1 can$8.00$8.00
Screws1 pack$3.00$3.00
Hardware (hinges, etc.)As needed$5.00$5.00
Subtotal$23.50
Contingency Reserve (10%)$2.35
Total Estimated Cost$25.85


Books

  • "Cost Estimating" by A. Wayne Morris: A comprehensive guide to cost estimating principles, techniques, and applications in various industries.
  • "Estimating for Construction" by R.S. Means Company: A widely recognized resource for estimating costs in the construction industry.
  • "The Complete Guide to Project Cost Estimating" by Mark S. Calkins: Offers practical advice on estimating project costs, including methodologies, tools, and best practices.

Articles

  • "A Guide to Effective Cost Estimating" by Project Management Institute: Provides an overview of cost estimating principles and best practices in project management.
  • "Cost Estimating for Software Development" by IEEE: Focuses on estimating software development costs, considering factors like complexity, risk, and technology.
  • "The Importance of Accurate Cost Estimating" by Engineering News-Record: Discusses the impact of accurate cost estimates on project success and financial performance.

Online Resources

  • CostX: A software platform for cost estimating and quantity take-off, offering advanced features for construction projects.
  • Project Management Institute (PMI): Provides valuable resources and standards related to cost estimating and project management.
  • AACE International: A professional organization dedicated to cost engineering and cost management, offering educational materials and certifications.

Search Tips

  • "Cost estimating techniques": Explore different cost estimating methodologies and approaches.
  • "Cost estimating software": Discover various software solutions for cost estimating, including free and paid options.
  • "Cost estimating for [industry]": Tailor your search to specific industries, e.g., "Cost estimating for construction," "Cost estimating for software development."
  • "Cost estimating best practices": Find articles and resources on best practices for accurate and effective cost estimation.

Techniques

Similar Terms
Project Planning & SchedulingCost Estimation & Control
Most Viewed
Categories

Comments


No Comments
POST COMMENT
captcha
Back